Gonzales Research &
Marketing Strategies
“

President Bush
Job Approval
Presidential
Contest
Governor
O’Malley Job Approval
Slots
Constitutional Amendment
September 2008
Contact: Laslo Boyd 443-812-4883
Methodology
Patrick
E. Gonzales graduated from the
Mr.
Gonzales has polled and analyzed hundreds of elections in
Laslo V. Boyd is a partner of Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies. Dr. Boyd
received his Ph.D. from the
Hilary Duff Gonzales is Director of Sales and
Marketing for Gonzales Research &
Marketing Strategies. Mrs. Gonzales has over 20 years experience
promoting the state of
This
survey was conducted by Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies from August 29th through
The margin of error (MOE), according to customary
statistical standards, is no more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage
points. There is a 95 percent
probability that the “true” figures would fall within this range if the entire
survey universe were sampled. The margin
for error is higher for any demographic subgroup, such as gender or race.
|
Gender |
Race |
Region |
|
Male 409
(49%) |
White 609
(73%) |
Eastern
Shore/S Md 103 (12%) |
|
Female 424
(51%) |
Black 201
(24%) |
|
|
|
Other/Ref
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Party
Registration |
|
|
|
Democrat 474
(57%) |
|
|
|
Republican 264 (32%) |
|
|
|
Independent 95 (11%) |
|
|
Regional Groupings are
as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Calvert
Co. |
|
Anne
Arundel Co. |
Montgomery Co. |
Allegany
Co. |
|
Caroline
Co. |
|
Baltimore
Co. |
|
Carroll
Co. |
|
Cecil
Co. |
|
Harford
Co. |
|
Frederick
Co. |
|
Charles
Co. |
|
Howard
Co. |
|
Garrett
Co. |
|
Dorchester
Co. |
|
|
|
Washington
Co. |
|
Kent
Co. |
|
|
|
|
|
Queen
Anne’s |
|
|
|
|
|
Somerset
Co. |
|
|
|
|
|
St.
Mary’s |
|
|
|
|
|
Talbot
Co. |
|
|
|
|
|
Wicomico
Co. |
|
|
|
|
|
Worcester
Co. |
|
|
|
|
Summary
President
Bush Job Approval
President
George Bush’s job approval rating has hit an all-time low in
By
party, 58% of Republicans approve of the job Bush is doing and 28% disapprove;
5% of Democrats approve of the job Bush is doing and 90% disapprove; and among
registered independents, only 11% approve of the job the Presidents is doing
and 79% disapprove.
|
Bush Job Rating |
Approve |
Disapprove |
No answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
September 2008 |
23% |
69% |
8% |
|
March 2008 |
27% |
64% |
9% |
|
January 2008 |
28% |
64% |
8% |
|
January 2007 |
25% |
68% |
7% |
|
August 2006 |
36% |
59% |
5% |
|
April 2006 |
29% |
67% |
4% |
|
October 2005 |
33% |
63% |
4% |
|
October 2004 |
44% |
53% |
3% |
|
August 2004 |
43% |
51% |
6% |
|
June 2004 |
39% |
54% |
7% |
|
March 2004 |
45% |
47% |
8% |
|
February 2004 |
41% |
53% |
6% |
|
December 2003 |
47% |
46% |
7% |
|
August 2003 |
43% |
48% |
9% |
|
April 2003 |
62% |
31% |
7% |
|
September 2002 |
63% |
28% |
9% |
|
January 2002 |
74% |
16% |
10% |
|
May 2001 |
48% |
34% |
18% |
|
February 2001 |
47% |
34% |
19% |
Presidential
Contest
Among
Fifty-one
percent have a favorable opinion of Democratic VP nominee Joe Biden and 20%
have an unfavorable opinion; 35% have a favorable opinion of Republican VP
nominee Sarah Palin and 24% have an unfavorable opinion of her.
Statewide,
52% said they would vote for Obama “if the election were held today,” while 38%
said they would vote for McCain, and 10% were undecided.
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the job George Bush
is doing as president?
Statewide Results
|
Response |
Statewide |
|
|
|
|
Approve |
22% |
|
Disapprove |
69% |
|
No Answer |
8% |
Party – George Bush job performance - approve or
disapprove?
|
Party |
Approve |
Disapprove |
No Answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Democrat |
5% |
90% |
5% |
|
Republican |
59% |
28% |
13% |
|
Independent |
11% |
79% |
10% |
Gender – George Bush job performance - approve or
disapprove?
|
Gender |
Approve |
Disapprove |
No Answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Men |
26% |
66% |
8% |
|
Women |
20% |
72% |
8% |
Race – George Bush job performance - approve or
disapprove?
|
Race |
Approve |
Disapprove |
No Answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
White |
30% |
61% |
9% |
|
African-American |
1% |
93% |
6% |
Name
Recognition
I am going to read you the
names of several individuals. After I
mention each name, I would like you to tell me if you recognize that
person. If you do, I would then like you
to tell me whether you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of
that individual.
The first (next) name is
_________________. Do you recognize that
name?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or
neutral opinion of that person?
Don’t
Favorable Unfavorable Neutral Recognize
Barack
Obama 57% 28% 15% -
Joe
Biden 51% 20% 23%
6%
John
McCain 41% 33% 26% -
Sarah
Palin 35% 24% 19% 22%
QUESTION: If the November general election for
president were held today for whom would you vote: John McCain, the Republican
or Barack Obama, the Democrat?
Statewide Results
|
Response |
Statewide |
|
|
|
|
Obama |
52% |
|
McCain |
38% |
|
Undecided |
10% |
Party – Presidential election?
|
Party |
Obama |
McCain |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Democrat |
80% |
11% |
9% |
|
Republican |
6% |
87% |
7% |
|
Independent |
42% |
35% |
23% |
Gender – Presidential election?
|
Gender |
Obama |
McCain |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Men |
47% |
44% |
9% |
|
Women |
57% |
32% |
11% |
Race – Presidential election?
|
Race |
Obama |
McCain |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
|
|
White |
39% |
50% |
11% |
|
African- American |
91% |
1% |
8% |
QUESTION:
What do
you think is the most important issue facing the state of
Economy 42%
Taxes 12%
Education 11%
Health
care 8%
Cost
of gasoline 6%
Transportation/Roads 3%
Crime 3%
Terrorism/security 3%
Environment
and pollution 3%
Affordable
housing 2%
Abortion/moral
issues
2%
Slot
machines 2%
Illegal
immigration 1%
No answer 2%
QUESTION:
Do you
approve or disapprove of the job Martin O’Malley is doing as governor?
Statewide Results
|
Response |
Statewide |
|
|
|
|
Approve |
45% |
|
Disapprove |
35% |
|
No answer |
20% |
Party - Martin O’Malley job performance - approve
or disapprove?
|
Party |
Approve |
Disapprove |
No Answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Democrat |
59% |
19% |
22% |
|
Republican |
19% |
65% |
16% |
|
Independent |
46% |
33% |
21% |
Gender – Martin O’Malley job performance - approve
or disapprove?
|
Gender |
Approve |
Disapprove |
No Answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Men |
41% |
43% |
16% |
|
Women |
49% |
27% |
24% |
Race – Martin O’Malley job performance - approve
or disapprove?
|
Race |
Approve |
Disapprove |
No Answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
White |
43% |
40% |
17% |
|
African- American |
51% |
20% |
29% |
QUESTION:
On this November’s general election ballot there
will be a Constitutional Amendment to legalize slot machines in
It authorizes
the State to issue up to five video lottery licenses for the purpose of raising
revenue for education of children in public schools, prekindergarten through
grade 12, public school construction and improvements, and construction of
capital projects at community colleges and higher education institutions. No
more than a total number of 15,000 video lottery terminals may be authorized in
the State, and only one license may be issued for each specified location in
Anne Arundel, Cecil,
If
the election were held today, would you vote For allowing slot machines
in
Statewide Results
|
Response |
Statewide |
|
|
|
|
For |
49% |
|
Against |
43% |
|
Undecided |
8% |
Party – Slots Amendment vote?
|
Party |
For |
Against |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Democrat |
48% |
44% |
7% |
|
Republican |
53% |
38% |
9% |
|
Independent |
38% |
52% |
10% |
Gender – Slots Amendment vote?
|
Gender |
For |
Against |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Men |
53% |
42% |
5% |
|
Women |
45% |
44% |
11% |
Race – Slots Amendment vote?
|
Race |
For |
Against |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
|
|
White |
51% |
42% |
7% |
|
African- American |
43% |
46% |
11% |
Region - Slots Amendment vote?
|
Region |
For |
Against |
Undecided |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eastern SH/ |
55% |
41% |
4% |
|
City |
48% |
43% |
9% |
|
Suburbs |
49% |
41% |
10% |
|
Suburbs |
42% |
50% |
8% |
|
Western |
61% |
35% |
4% |
QUESTION:
Would you
say the issues surrounding the
Statewide Results
|
Response |
Statewide |
|
|
|
|
Big problem |
40% |
|
Somewhat of a problem |
38% |
|
Not that much of a problem |
12% |
|
Not a problem at all |
3% |
|
No answer |
7% |
Party - Issues surrounding the
|
Party |
Big Problem |
Somewhat Problem |
Not much Problem |
Not at all Problem |
No Answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Democrat |
41% |
39% |
12% |
2% |
6% |
|
Republican |
39% |
37% |
11% |
4% |
9% |
|
Independent |
38% |
36% |
15% |
6% |
5% |
Gender – Issues surrounding the
|
Gender |
Big Problem |
Somewhat Problem |
Not much Problem |
Not at all Problem |
No Answer |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Men |
34% |
38% |
16% |
5% |
7% |
|
Women |
46% |
38% |
8% |
1% |
7% |