Gonzales Research &

Marketing Strategies

 

Maryland’s leader in public opinion polling”

 

 

 

Maryland Poll

Part 2

 

President Barack Obama

Health Care Reform

 

 

 

September 2009

 

 

 

Contact: Laslo Boyd    443-812-4883

 

www.gonzalesresearch.com


 

Methodology

 

 

Patrick E. Gonzales graduated from the University of Baltimore in 1981 with a degree in political science.  He began his career as an analyst with Mason-Dixon Opinion Research and is the former president of Mason-Dixon Campaign Polling and Gonzales/Arscott Research & Communications, Inc. 

 

Mr. Gonzales has polled and analyzed hundreds of elections in Maryland since the mid 1980’s.  Additionally, he and his associates have conducted numerous market research projects and crafted message development programs for businesses and organizations throughout the state.

 

Laslo V. Boyd is a partner of Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies.  Dr. Boyd received his Ph.D. from the University of Pennsylvania and has over 30 years of experience in higher education, government, and public policy.

 

Hilary Duff Gonzales is Director of Sales and Marketing for Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies.  Mrs. Gonzales has over 20 years experience promoting the state of Maryland, particularly in the tour and travel industry.

 

This survey was conducted by Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies from September 8th through September 17th, 2009.  A total of 833 registered voters in Maryland were interviewed by telephone.  A cross-section of interviews was conducted in each jurisdiction within the state to reflect general election voting patterns.

 

The margin of error (MOE), according to customary statistical standards, is no more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.  There is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figures would fall within this range if the entire survey universe were sampled.  The margin for error is higher for any demographic subgroup, such as gender.

 

 

 

 


Maryland Statewide Poll Sample Demographics

 

Gender

Race

Region

 

Male         409   (49%)

 

White        617   (74%)

 

Eastern Shore/S Md  113      (13%)

Female      424   (51%)

Black        198   (24%)

Baltimore City             73        (9%)

 

Other/Ref   18 

Baltimore Suburbs     308      (37%)

 

 

Washington Subs      241      (29%)

 

 

Western Maryland      98      (12%)

Party Registration

 

 

Democrat         458   (55%)

 

 

Republican       265   (32%)

 

 

Independent     110   (13%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Regional Groupings are as follows:

 

Eastern Shore/ Southern Md

 

Baltimore City

Baltimore Suburbs

Washington Suburbs

Western Maryland

 

Calvert Co.

 

Baltimore City

 

Anne Arundel Co.

 

Montgomery Co.

 

Allegany Co.

Caroline Co.

 

Baltimore Co.

 Prince George’s Co.

Carroll Co.

Cecil Co.

 

Harford Co.

 

Frederick Co.

Charles Co.

 

Howard Co.

 

Garrett Co.

Dorchester Co.

 

 

 

Washington Co.

Kent Co.

 

 

 

 

Queen Anne’s Co.

 

 

 

 

Somerset Co.

 

 

 

 

St. Mary’s Co.

 

 

 

 

Talbot Co.

 

 

 

 

Wicomico Co.

 

 

 

 

Worcester Co.

 

 

 

 

 


Summary

 

 

President Barack Obama

 

Among Maryland voters, 60% have a favorable opinion of Barack Obama, 27% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 13% have a neutral opinion of Obama.

 

With regard to his overall performance in office, 58% approve of the job he’s doing as president, 31% disapprove, and 11% have no opinion.

 

Obama’s overall job approval by party and race:

 

                                                  Approve        Disapprove     No opinion     

 

Democrats                                      75%                 12%                 13%                     

Republicans                                    29%                 61%                 10%                                

Independents                                  57%                 38%                 5%        

 

White                                             50%                 39%                 11%                      

African-American                           83%                 7%                  10%                                

 

 

 

 

 

Among African-Americans in Maryland, 83% approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as president

 

Among Democrats in Maryland, 75% approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as president

 
                                                                               

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Health Care Reform

 

Statewide, 46% approve of the way Barack Obama is handling health care policy, 42% disapprove, with 12% offering no response.

 

Obama’s handling of health care policy by party:

 

                                                  Approve        Disapprove     No opinion     

 

Democrats                                      62%                 22%                 16%                     

Republicans                                    19%                 74%                  7%                                 

Independents                                  45%                 46%                 9%       

 

                                                 

 

                                                                             

Among independents in Maryland, Obama enjoys a solid 57%-38% overall job approval, but on his handling of health care policy, a 46% plurality disapprove

 

Among Democrats, approval toward Obama drops 13 points on the issue of his handling of health care policy

 
                                                                                                                                                                                               

      

 

                                                                                                                                      

                                                                                                   

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Forty-eight percent of Marylanders think the country's health care system needs a great deal of reform, 41% think it needs a moderate amount of reform, 5% say not much reform is needed, and 2% say no reform at all is needed.  

 

 

Voters in the Free State are mixed on the issue of creating a public health insurance option administered by the federal government that would compete with plans offered by private health insurance companies

 

Statewide, 43% favor creating a public health insurance option, 40% opposes a public option, with 17% providing no opinion.

 

The results by party:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Swine Flu

 

Thirteen percent of Marylanders are “very concerned” that they or someone in their family will catch the swine flu this year, 33% are “somewhat concerned,” 28% are “not that concerned,” and 25% are “not at all concerned.”

 


Name Recognition

 

 

 

I am going to read you the names of several individuals.  After I mention each name, I would like you to tell me if you recognize that person.  If you do, I would then like you to tell me whether you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of that individual.

 

The first (next) name is _________________.  Do you recognize that name?

 

(IF YES)  Do you have a favorable, unfavorable, or neutral opinion of that person?

 

                                                                                                                      Don’t

                    Favorable        Unfavorable        Neutral          Recognize

 

 

Barack Obama                         60%                   27%                 13%               -

 

 

 

                                                  
QUESTION: 
  Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

Statewide Results

 

Response

Statewide

 

 

 

Approve

 

58%

 

Disapprove

 

31%

 

No answer

 

11%

 

 

 

 

Party – Barack Obama overall job performance - Approve or disapprove?

 

 

Party

 

Approve

 

Disapprove

No

Answer

 

 

 

 

 

Democrat

 

75%

 

12%

 

13%

 

Republican

 

29%

 

61%

 

10%

 

Independent

 

57%

 

38%

 

5%

 

 

 

Race – Barack Obama overall job performance - Approve or disapprove?

 

 

Race

 

Approve

 

Disapprove

No

Answer

 

 

 

 

 

White

 

50%

 

39%

 

11%

African-

American

 

83%

 

7%

 

10%

 


QUESTION:    Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care policy?

Statewide Results

 

Response

Statewide

 

 

 

Approve

 

46%

 

Disapprove

 

42%

 

No answer

 

12%

 

 

 

 

Party – Barack Obama handling health care policy - Approve or disapprove?

 

 

Party

 

Approve

 

Disapprove

No

Answer

 

 

 

 

 

Democrat

 

62%

 

22%

 

16%

 

Republican

 

19%

 

74%

 

7%

 

Independent

 

45%

 

46%

 

9%

 


QUESTION:    Do you think the country's health care system needs a great deal of reform, a moderate amount of reform, not much reform, or no reform at all?

 

Statewide Results

 

Response

Statewide

 

 

 

A great deal

 

48%

 

Moderate amount

 

41%

 

Not much

 

5%

 

None at all

 

2%

 

No answer

 

4%

 

 

 

 

Party – How much health care reform?

 

 

Party

 

A great deal

Moderate

Amount

Not

Much

None at

All

No

Answer

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Democrat

 

61%

 

32%

 

3%

 

1%

 

3%

 

Republican

 

24%

 

57%

 

9%

 

4%

 

6%

 

Independent

 

49%

 

40%

 

5%

 

3%

 

3%

 

 


QUESTION:    Do you favor or oppose creating a public health insurance option administered by the federal government that would compete with plans offered by private health insurance companies?

 

Statewide Results

 

Response

Statewide

 

 

 

Favor

 

43%

 

Oppose

 

40%

 

No answer

 

17%

 

 

 

 

Party – Favor or oppose - public health insurance option administered by the federal government?

 

 

Party

 

Favor

 

Oppose

No

Answer

 

 

 

 

 

Democrat

 

59%

 

20%

 

21%

 

Republican

 

17%

 

69%

 

14%

 

Independent

 

41%

 

51%

 

8%

 

 

 

 

 

 


QUESTION:    How concerned are you that you or someone in your family will catch the swine flu this year?

 

Statewide Results

 

Response

Statewide

 

 

 

Very concerned

 

13%

 

Somewhat concerned

 

33%

 

Not that concerned

 

 28%

 

Not at all concerned

 

25%

 

No answer

 

1%

 

 

 

 

Gender – How concerned are you that you or someone in your family will catch the swine flu this year?

 

 

Gender

Very

Concerned

Somewhat

Concerned

Not that

Concerned

Not at all

Concerned

No

Answer

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Men

 

9%

 

34%

 

27%

 

29%

 

1%

 

Women

 

17%

 

32%

 

29%

 

21%

 

1%